We discuss the essence of time and how do we account it in an era where the world’s central banks have suppressed the most important variable used to discount the time value of money. Since these developments have effectively rendered conventional valuation models useless we delve into how Kopernik tries mitigate it by, among other things, using Charlie Munger’s approach of turning the models upside down.
Taking cues from the 1977 Iggy Pop song bearing the same name, we discuss the distinctions between active/passive investing and why we at Kopernik prefer to be the driver, not the passenger.
Drawing similarities to the famous quote by Vince Lombardi, we discuss the currently inflated perception of the importance of ‘when’, the current opportunity to ‘win’, the prevalence of people playing not to lose, some thoughts on how the game is currently being played, and how this has left stocks so undervalued that returns are likely to be lucrative even if it takes a little time to materialize.
Using the Academy Award winning film, The Big Short, David B. Iben, CFA discusses the current valuation environment of early 2016 and why the world is scripting it’s sequel. Arguing that we are not in the beginning of a bear market but rather near the late stages of a deep, powerful, psychologically challenging bear market. Dave explains the potential upside of current depressed valuations and why we are waiting patiently for an inevitable return to rationality.
David B. Iben, CFA discusses cyclicality in the financial markets. Whether it be clothes, entertainment or currencies, human preferences are ever changing making this market have an extraordinary level of peril and opportunity. And why, in the current highly-correlated investment environment, Kopernik uses a rigorous, bottom-up research process to mitigate it. Here at Kopernik, it’s still rock and roll to us.
In his latest commentary, Kopernik analyst and co-portfolio manager for the International Strategy, Mark McKinney analyzes and compares how the current developed world’s characteristics such as inflation, excessive deficits, censorship and politicized economic decision-making are looking more like emerging markets. This begs rethinking the prevailing rules and risks applied in the valuations of both. Is the valuation premium awarded to developed markets for so long still warranted? Or do emerging markets with sizable discounts offer better investment opportunities due to the misunderstood risks?
In this whitepaper on ESG, Kopernik’s investment research team provides an update to our March 2021 webinar on the same topic. In summary, ESG is important, complex, and nuanced. This whitepaper will give an update on how we think about the current ESG environment, provide examples of the types of ESG risks we are evaluating, and explain how we integrate ESG risk into our valuation process.
In this whitepaper, Kopernik’s investment research team builds on our April 2022 webinar about geopolitical risk, breaking down our process and examples of both successes and losses in emerging markets. Evaluating geopolitical risk has always been a key factor in our global investment process. As global crises have made our role as investment manager more crucial than ever, our mission of being independent thought leaders could not be more pertinent.
In his latest commentary, Kopernik analyst and co-portfolio manager for the International Strategy, Mark McKinney, compares today’s U.S. market to the tech bubble of the late 1990s and 2000s. He also gives examples of the many “mini bubbles” that have already burst under the surface of the bigger names in the index. Lastly, there are some thoughts on the US Dollar, inflation, and gold.
In his latest commentary, Kopernik analyst and co-portfolio manager for the International Strategy, Mark McKinney, compares the actions of the U.S. Federal Reserve and the resultant inflation and choppy investment environment to the dangerous aspirations of villains in Hollywood spy films and how Kopernik is actively managing our investments through “the greater suffering.”
In his latest commentary, “Lord make me green…but not yet”, Kopernik Analyst Steve Rosenthal discusses a range of factors that handicap “net-zero” emission pledges around the world. While this ambitious goal will hopefully materialize, there resides a paradox in achieving it at the rate and extent we want/need.
Kopernik's Director of Research, Alissa Corcoran, joined Oliver Renick on TD Ameritrade Network to discuss the upside for gold mining stocks and how other commodities like uranium are trading well below their incentive price. Watch here.
Kopernik's Director of Research, Alissa Corcoran, joined Bloomberg Radio to discuss where she is finding buying opportunities in today's bifurcated market, including in commodities like uranium and gold. Listen to her full interview here.
Kopernik CIO Dave Iben recently spoke with Value Investor Insight for a feature piece on where he's finding value and why it's one of the best times ever to be an active investor. Read the full interview here to learn more about how he's identifying opportunities in high-quality companies in emerging markets as well as situations where cash flows are latent and reside in real assets.
September 10, 2020 - Director of Research/Analyst Alissa Corcoran interviews analysts Steve Rosenthal and Taylor McKenna about how Kopernik values mining companies. Although these companies may come with a lot of baggage, we believe the upside potential more than offsets the risk. We discussed how we assess the risk, the opportunities we are seeing today, and took time to answer live questions.
Please click here to watch the replay.
Kopernik CIO, David Iben, joins Stephanie Pomboy & Grant Williams to discuss the art of value investing, the challenges it faces in today's market environment and why it's a bad idea to write any obituaries for the strategy just yet. Tune in to this podcast to listen as Dave discusses the cycles he's witnessed over his career as he gets ready to enter his fifth decade in the business, the lessons he's learned and offers some thoughts on where value can be found off the beaten path as equity markets scream towards all-time highs.
